Crops ›› 2022, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (2): 104-112.doi: 10.16035/j.issn.1001-7283.2022.02.015

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Risk Assessment of Dry-Hot Wind in Different Sowing Dates of Wheat in Yuncheng Basin

Wang Jian(), Xu Ailing, Yang Na, Wang Ke, Xi Jilong, Wei Xiaodong, Zhang Jiancheng, Xi Tianyuan()   

  1. Cotton Research Institute, Shanxi Agricultural University, Yuncheng 044000, Shanxi, China
  • Received:2021-03-08 Revised:2021-07-19 Online:2022-04-15 Published:2022-04-24
  • Contact: Xi Tianyuan E-mail:wangjianmhs@163.com;mhskybxty@126.com

Abstract:

In order to clarify the risk changes of dry-hot wind in different sowing dates of different types of wheat under the current climate situation, taking Jimai 22 (semi-winter and partial-winter variety), Zhoumai 18 (semi-winter and partial-spring variety) and Xinong 529 (weak-spring variety) as materials to study the phenological period, yield and its compositions of wheat through three years experiments. Based on the analysis of the grain filling rule in two years and the distribution of dry-hot wind in 1987-2016, the probability of occurrence of dry-hot wind at 95% grain filling in different sowing dates was discussed. The results showed that postponing the sowing date could reduce tillering before winter but increase tillering number in spring. Delaying sowing date shortened the grain filling duration and accelerated the grain-filling rate, and the probability of dry-hot wind did not increase significantly within a certain sowing date range. Jimai 22 planted in the pre-winter accumulated temperature range of 380℃-680℃, Zhoumai 18 and Xinong 529 planted in the pre-winter accumulated temperature range of 250℃-680℃. The dry-hot wind risk remained the same, and it increased significantly as the accumulated temperature continued to decrease. Under the conditions of this experiment, the grain-filling rate increased and the risk of dry-hot wind did not significantly change when moderately postponing the sowing date, decreasing the accumulated temperature before winter, and increasing the sowing amount, so the wheat yield of different year types was stable. Under the current climate conditions, the optimum accumulated temperature before winter could decrease from about 600℃ to 380℃, and two to four tillers before winter, which is an effective way to stabilize wheat yield.

Key words: Wheat cultivars, Accumulated temperature before winter, Phenological stage, Grouting rate, Dry-hot wind risk, Yield

Fig.1

Monthly average temperature and rainfall of wheat growing season in three experimental years"

Table 1

Experiment design of different accumulated temperature before winter"

处理
Treatment
2017-2018 2018-2019 2019-2020 播量
(万粒/hm2
Sowing
quantity
(×104/hm2)
冬前积温
Accumulated
temperature
before winter (℃)
播期(月-日)
Sowing date
(month-day)
冬前积温
Accumulated
temperature
before winter (℃)
播期(月-日)
Sowing date
(month-day)
冬前积温
Accumulated
temperature
before winter (℃)
播期(月-日)
Sowing date
(month-day)
B1 652.9 10-01 616.2 10-05 680.1 10-03 140
B2 464.7 10-15 390.3 10-20 516.8 10-13 290
B3 252.0 10-30 187.8 11-05 380.3 10-23 440
B4 108.2 11-15 258.9 11-02 540
B5 63.7 11-25 114.2 11-12 540

Table 2

Effects of different sowing dates on phenological stages of different wheat varieties in 2017-2018"

处理
Treatment
冬前叶龄
Leaf age
before winter
冬前分蘖数
Tillering number
before winter
返青期(月-日)
Turning green
(month-day)
拔节期(月-日)
Jointing
(month-day)
扬花期(月-日)
Flowering
(month-day)
成熟期(月-日)
Maturity
(month-day)
灌浆天数
Grouting
days (d)
B1Ⅰ 8 10.3 02-20 03-23 04-22 06-02 41
B2Ⅰ 5 4.8 02-20 03-27 04-24 06-03 40
B3Ⅰ 3 1.0 02-20 04-02 04-27 06-06 40
B1Ⅱ 8 4.7 02-20 03-21 04-20 06-02 43
B2Ⅱ 5 4.1 02-20 03-26 04-22 06-02 41
B3Ⅱ 3 1.0 02-20 04-01 04-24 06-04 42
B1Ⅲ 9 4.9 02-20 03-14 04-16 05-31 45
B2Ⅲ 5 4.2 02-20 03-24 04-20 06-02 44
B3Ⅲ 4 1.0 02-20 04-01 04-23 06-04 44

Table 3

Effects of different sowing dates on phenological stages of different wheat varieties in 2018-2019"

处理
Treatment
冬前叶龄
Leaf age
before winter
冬前分蘖数
Tillering number
before winter
返青期(月-日)
Turning green
(month-day)
拔节期(月-日)
Jointing
(month-day)
扬花期(月-日)
Flowering
(month-day)
成熟期(月-日)
Maturity
(month-day)
灌浆天数
Grouting
days (d)
B1Ⅰ 7 5.0 02-21 03-21 04-28 06-07 41
B2Ⅰ 5 4.5 02-21 03-26 04-30 06-07 39
B3Ⅰ 3 0.2 02-21 04-01 04-30 06-07 39
B4Ⅰ 1 0.0 02-21 04-04 04-31 06-08 39
B5Ⅰ 0 0.0 02-21 04-05 05-04 06-09 37
B1Ⅱ 7 3.5 02-21 03-20 04-27 06-06 41
B2Ⅱ 5 2.3 02-21 03-25 04-29 06-06 39
B3Ⅱ 3 0.0 02-21 03-29 04-29 06-07 40
B4Ⅱ 1 0.0 02-21 04-01 04-29 06-08 41
B5Ⅱ 0 0.0 02-21 04-03 05-02 06-08 38
B1Ⅲ 8 3.9 02-21 03-17 04-21 06-03 44
B2Ⅲ 5 2.8 02-21 03-23 04-24 06-05 43
B3Ⅲ 4 0.0 02-21 03-30 04-25 06-07 44
B4Ⅲ 2 0.0 02-21 04-03 04-27 06-08 43
B5Ⅲ 0 0.0 02-21 04-04 05-03 06-09 38

Table 4

Effects of different sowing dates on phenological stages of different wheat varieties in 2019-2020"

处理
Treatment
冬前叶龄
Leaf age
before winter
冬前分蘖数
Tillering number
before winter
返青期(月-日)
Turning green
(month-day)
拔节期(月-日)
Jointing
(month-day)
扬花期(月-日)
Flowering
(month-day)
成熟期(月-日)
Maturity
(month-day)
灌浆天数
Grouting
days (d)
B1Ⅰ 8 10.8 02-12 03-14 04-21 06-01 42
B2Ⅰ 6 4.9 02-12 03-20 04-24 06-02 40
B3Ⅰ 4 2.0 02-12 03-24 04-28 06-05 39
B4Ⅰ 2 0.7 02-12 03-27 04-30 06-05 37
B5Ⅰ 1 0.0 02-12 03-28 04-30 06-06 38
B1Ⅱ 7 4.7 02-12 03-05 04-19 05-28 40
B2Ⅱ 6 4.3 02-12 03-15 04-24 05-30 37
B3Ⅱ 5 2.0 02-12 03-21 04-26 06-03 39
B4Ⅱ 3 0.0 02-12 03-24 04-28 06-04 38
B5Ⅱ 2 0.0 02-12 03-27 04-30 06-06 38
B1Ⅲ 8 6.7 02-12 02-29 04-14 05-26 43
B2Ⅲ 6 5.3 02-12 03-11 04-22 05-30 39
B3Ⅲ 5 3.9 02-12 03-20 04-24 06-03 41
B4Ⅲ 3 0.8 02-12 03-25 04-28 06-04 38
B5Ⅲ 1 0.0 02-12 03-28 04-30 06-06 38

Table 5

The grain filling parameters of wheat under different accumulated temperatures before winter in 2018-2019"

处理
Treatment
T
(d)
Vmax
(mg/d)
V
(mg/d)
渐增期/缓增期
Gradually increasing period/slowly increasing period
快增期
Rapid increasing period
T1 (d) V1 (mg/d) T2 (d) V2 (mg/d)
B1Ⅰ 35.18 1.75 1.17 7.43 0.64 20.31 1.56
B2Ⅰ 32.66 1.80 1.20 6.90 0.65 18.85 1.60
B3Ⅰ 33.15 1.78 1.18 7.00 0.65 19.14 1.58
B4Ⅰ 32.23 1.88 1.25 6.81 0.68 18.61 1.67
B5Ⅰ 29.47 2.03 1.35 6.23 0.74 17.01 1.81
B1Ⅱ 37.86 1.79 1.19 8.00 0.65 21.86 1.59
B2Ⅱ 38.36 1.73 1.16 8.29 0.63 22.65 1.54
B3Ⅱ 36.25 1.94 1.29 7.66 0.69 19.58 1.72
B4Ⅱ 35.41 1.89 1.26 7.74 0.69 21.15 1.68
B5Ⅱ 32.56 2.08 1.38 6.88 0.75 18.80 1.85
B1Ⅲ 36.57 1.70 1.13 7.73 0.62 21.12 1.51
B2Ⅲ 37.35 1.64 1.09 7.89 0.59 21.57 1.45
B3Ⅲ 38.71 1.60 1.06 8.18 0.58 22.35 1.42
B4Ⅲ 38.26 1.61 1.08 8.09 0.59 22.09 1.43
B5Ⅲ 32.74 2.03 1.36 6.92 0.74 18.99 1.81

Table 6

The grain filling parameters of wheat under different accumulated temperatures before winter in 2019-2020"

处理
Treatment
T
(d)
Vmax
(mg/d)
V
(mg/d)
渐增期/缓增期
Gradually increasing period/slowly increasing period
快增期
Rapid increasing period
T1 (d) V1 (mg/d) T2 (d) V2 (mg/d)
B1Ⅰ 38.09 1.78 1.19 8.05 0.65 21.99 1.58
B2Ⅰ 39.15 1.80 1.20 8.27 0.65 22.60 1.60
B3Ⅰ 36.87 1.99 1.32 7.79 0.72 21.29 1.76
B4Ⅰ 33.07 2.19 1.46 6.99 0.80 19.09 1.95
B5Ⅰ 35.15 2.15 1.44 7.43 0.78 20.29 1.91
B1Ⅱ 36.63 2.06 1.37 7.74 0.75 21.15 1.83
B2Ⅱ 33.68 2.23 1.49 7.12 0.81 19.44 1.99
B3Ⅱ 33.48 2.24 1.49 7.07 0.81 19.33 1.99
B4Ⅱ 30.82 2.48 1.65 6.51 0.90 17.79 2.21
B5Ⅱ 31.28 2.56 1.71 6.61 0.93 18.06 2.27
B1Ⅲ 36.92 1.84 1.23 7.80 0.67 21.32 1.63
B2Ⅲ 38.77 1.87 1.25 8.06 0.68 22.39 1.67
B3Ⅲ 35.86 2.03 1.36 7.58 0.74 20.71 1.81
B4Ⅲ 32.13 2.28 1.52 6.79 0.83 18.55 2.02
B5Ⅲ 31.29 2.39 1.59 6.61 0.87 18.07 2.12

Fig.2

Occurrence and distribution of dry-hot wind in wheat in Yanhu area from 1987 to 2016"

Table 7

The risk of dry-hot wind of wheat in different years"

处理
Treatment
2018-2019 2019-2020
灌浆起
始日期
(月-日)
Grouting
start date
(month-day)
95%灌浆Grouting 95% 轻度干热风
发生风险
Probability
of mild
dry-hot
wind (%)
重度干热风
发生风险
Probability
of severe
dry-hot
wind (%)
灌浆起
始日期
(月-日)
Grouting
start date
(month-day)
95%灌浆Grouting 95% 轻度干热风
发生风险
Probability
of mild
dry-hot
wind (%)
重度干热风
发生风险
Probability
of severe
dry-hot
wind (%)
时长
Duration
(d)
对应日期
(月-日)
Corresponding
date
(month-day)
时长
Duration
(d)
对应日期
(月-日)
Corresponding
date
(month-day)
B1Ⅰ 04-29 31.19 05-29 16.67 4.00 04-26 32.94 05-28 16.67 4.00
B2Ⅰ 04-30 29.25 05-28 16.67 4.00 04-28 33.85 05-31 16.67 4.00
B3Ⅰ 05-03 28.06 05-30 16.67 4.00 05-04 31.88 06-05 16.00 14.00
B4Ⅰ 05-04 27.34 05-30 16.67 4.00 05-06 28.59 06-04 16.00 14.00
B5Ⅰ 05-08 26.35 06-02 16.00 14.00 05-07 30.39 06-07 20.00 11.30
B1Ⅱ 04-28 32.98 05-29 16.67 4.00 04-27 31.67 05-28 16.67 4.00
B2Ⅱ 04-28 33.04 05-30 16.67 4.00 04-29 29.12 05-28 16.67 4.00
B3Ⅱ 04-30 30.81 05-30 16.67 4.00 05-01 28.94 05-29 16.67 4.00
B4Ⅱ 05-02 29.40 05-30 16.67 4.00 05-05 26.64 05-31 16.67 4.00
B5Ⅱ 05-06 27.96 06-02 16.00 14.00 05-07 27.97 06-03 16.00 14.00
B1Ⅲ 04-23 32.12 05-24 12.00 3.33 04-25 31.92 05-26 16.67 4.00
B2Ⅲ 04-26 31.39 05-26 16.67 4.00 04-26 32.24 05-28 16.67 4.00
B3Ⅲ 04-27 32.58 05-29 16.67 4.00 05-01 28.69 05-29 16.67 4.00
B4Ⅲ 04-30 32.09 05-31 16.67 4.00 05-07 27.78 06-03 16.00 14.00
B5Ⅲ 05-06 28.58 06-02 16.00 14.00 05-08 27.31 06-04 16.00 14.00

Fig.3

Effects of different sowing dates on wheat yield and its components in three years Different lowercase letters indicate the significant difference at 0.05 level"

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